Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Broncos vs. Patriots
Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 52.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-114).
Pros
- This game’s spread suggests a running game script for the Broncos, who are favored by 6.5 points.
- The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos as the 3rd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 49.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- In this week’s contest, Javonte Williams is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.0 rush attempts.
- Javonte Williams has received 54.3% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
- Javonte Williams has generated 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).
Cons
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see only 124.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
- The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
- The New England Patriots defense owns the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 3.49 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
- The Patriots safeties profile as the best group of safeties in football this year with their run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
