Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Chargers vs. Chiefs
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 32.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Chargers are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
Cons
- Gerald Everett’s possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 64.5%.
- Gerald Everett’s pass-game efficiency has declined this year, compiling a measly 6.90 yards-per-target vs a 7.96 rate last year.
- The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.
- The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
