Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Brandin CooksReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Giants vs. Texans
Right now, Brandin Cooks’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-130) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
- The Texans are a giant 13.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to garner 7.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.
- The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 10th-least in football.
- Brandin Cooks has compiled far fewer air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
- Brandin Cooks has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (64.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards
51
Receiving Yards
