Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Travis EtienneRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Jaguars vs. Chargers
Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 78.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to total 16.1 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among running backs.
- Travis Etienne has earned 54.7% of his team’s carries this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.
- Travis Etienne has grinded out 66.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (91st percentile).
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 5.54 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- The Jaguars have been the 8th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 37.9% run rate.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the worst in football this year in run blocking.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards
78
Rushing Yards
