Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Patriots vs. Eagles
Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-113/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 52.5 (-113) after it opened @ 59.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 14.0 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 52.3% of his team’s rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has averaged 59.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (82nd percentile).
- Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the leading RBs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.81 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 97th percentile.
Cons
- The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The Patriots have been the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 38.0% run rate.
- The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends project as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards
65
Rushing Yards
