Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Khalil HerbertRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Bears vs. Packers
Right now, Khalil Herbert’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 54.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to accrue 11.8 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
- The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
- Khalil Herbert’s running efficiency (5.36 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (100th percentile among running backs).
- The Green Bay Packers defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, giving up 5.15 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 118.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Rushing Yards
44
Rushing Yards
