Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Josh JacobsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Broncos vs. Raiders
Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-141/+108).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (+108) after it opened @ 71.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 17.3 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
- Josh Jacobs has earned 80.4% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
- The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
- Josh Jacobs has averaged 100.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (100th percentile).
- Josh Jacobs’s running effectiveness (4.99 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (92nd percentile among RBs).
Cons
- The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards
80
Rushing Yards
