Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Josh Jacobs from EV Insight

Josh JacobsRushing Yards

Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-141/+108).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (+108) after it opened @ 71.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 17.3 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs has earned 80.4% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Josh Jacobs has averaged 100.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (100th percentile).
Josh Jacobs’s running effectiveness (4.99 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (92nd percentile among RBs).

Cons

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards