Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Dalvin Cook from EV Insight

Dalvin CookRushing Yards

Right now, Dalvin Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-115) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).

Pros

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accumulate 16.1 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering 5.28 yards-per-carry.

Cons

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O’Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Dalvin Cook has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (68.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards