Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dalvin CookRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Vikings vs. Giants
Right now, Dalvin Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-115/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-115) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalvin Cook to accumulate 16.1 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.
- The New York Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering 5.28 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O’Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Dalvin Cook has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (68.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).
- The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards
71
Rushing Yards
