Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey from EV Insight

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-115) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 40.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 13.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Christian McCaffrey has garnered 58.4% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Christian McCaffrey has generated 68.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (93rd percentile).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Christian McCaffrey has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.61 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 11th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, allowing just 4.28 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards