Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Richie JamesReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Vikings vs. Giants
Right now, Richie James’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-127) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
- Richie James has been among the worst WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 18th percentile.
- The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (5th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards
61
Receiving Yards
