NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Pat FreiermuthReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Steelers vs. 49ers
Right now, Pat Freiermuth’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (+104/-136).
The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (+104) after it opened @ 34.5 (-112).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to notch 5.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
- Pat Freiermuth has compiled a monstrous 50.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among tight ends.
- Pat Freiermuth has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 49.0 yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, allowing 6.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.29 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the league.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Receiving Yards
46
Receiving Yards
