Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Patriots vs. Eagles
Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-113/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-113) after it opened @ 42.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The Patriots rank as the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 62.0% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Juju Smith-Schuster to total 7.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
- Juju Smith-Schuster has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 62.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Cons
- The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (61.8%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards
56
Receiving Yards
