Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 32.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 32.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
Gerald Everett has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 37.0 yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

Cons

The Los Angeles Chargers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Projection

THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards