Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Deebo SamuelReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Steelers vs. 49ers
Right now, Deebo Samuel’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to garner 6.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
- Deebo Samuel has been a key part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 23.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
- Deebo Samuel has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 52.0 yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
- Deebo Samuel has been among the top wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a stellar 9.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.1%) versus WRs since the start of last season (60.1%).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
