Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Broncos vs. Raiders
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 72.5 (-110) after it opened @ 75.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 9.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
- Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 30.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
- Davante Adams has accrued a colossal 124.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Davante Adams has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 59.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile among wide receivers
- The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 119.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers since the start of last season, surrendering 6.86 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.
- The Denver Broncos cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards
75
Receiving Yards
