Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Daniel Bellinger from EV Insight

Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards

Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 25.5 (-110) after it opened @ 23.5 (-110).

Pros

The Giants are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (5th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards