Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenny PickettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Steelers vs. 49ers
Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (+107/-139).
The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (+107) after it opened @ 212.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Kenny Pickett has been among the least effective QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 6.70 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 23rd percentile.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.36 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in football.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.87 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in the league.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
247
Passing Yards
247
Passing Yards
