Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Despite Super Bowl 55 sitting in the rearview and the 2020 NFL season concluded, the betting season never ends. Super Bowl futures bets are already live, and now is the time to strike before the offseason hot stove reheats the iron. As the weeks roll on, trades will commence, free agency will begin, and rosters will be shaken more than a James Bond martini. The NFL landscape will change drastically, and with it, so will Super Bowl betting odds.
Let’s dive into which teams can help us capitalize on Super Bowl betting opportunities for 2022.
All odds listed below are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
2022 Super Bowl Odds
Here’s an overview of odds from sportsbooks across the US.
Betting on the Favorites
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Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds
The Chiefs odds stand at +525 at open. An offensive core of Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce returning has legit Super Bowl aspirations yearly. If the offensive line play can improve in 2021, the Chiefs have a fantastic shot at becoming only the fourth team in NFL history to earn three consecutive Super Bowl appearances.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds
The Buccaneers scored the second-most points per game (30.8) in 2020, and for the rest of the NFL that should be a frightening thought. Tom Brady returns to direct a team that improved and gelled as the season rolled on. The champs are +900 to repeat.
Green Bay Packers Super Bowl Odds
Assuming Aaron Rodgers returns to Green Bay, this team is poised to make another run at it. The Rodgers-Davante Adams tandem can take over any game with the drop of a hat. At +1000, this is a bargain.
Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds
Brian Daboll returns to direct an offense that ranked third in scoring per game and neutral-script passing rate. Josh Allen and company have offensive firepower teamed with an opportunistic defense, leading to another deep postseason run and the odds are set at +1200.
Los Angeles Rams Super Bowl Odds
With Matthew Stafford in town, the Rams (+1300) now have a signal-caller that has the potential to elevate its offense to rival the potency of its defense. In 2020, Los Angeles was ranked fourth in total defensive DVOA but only 20th in offensive passing DVOA.
Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl Odds
After Lamar Jackson’s mid-game toilet timeout versus the Browns, Baltimore rattled off 35 points per game over their final regular-season games. If the Ravens can keep up that pace for a full season with their still top-shelf defense, they’ll be an AFC favorite and come in at just +1300.
Super Bowl 56 Contenders
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San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds
If the 49ers can kick the injury bug to the curb, they should be in the conversation for Super Bowl dark horse. If San Francisco gets a quarterback upgrade, then they could find themselves as quiet favorites with an offense featuring George Kittle, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk.
New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds
Uncertainty at the quarterback position with a strapped salary cap places the Saints in this category and not higher. Sean Payton will coax every win out of what is still an extremely talented and balanced roster.
Cleveland Browns Super Bowl Odds
With an 11-win season under his belt, Kevin Stefanski’s first season in Cleveland was a smashing success. With the Browns returning an elite offensive line, if they can add talent to the receiving depth chart (or get a healthy Odell Beckham back) and the defense in 2021 could be even brighter.
Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl Odds
Even with head chef Pete Carroll parring the offensive menu down to bland rushing entrees, the Seahawks have the look of a 10- to 11-win squad. In 2018-2019 with Seattle finishing second and third in rushing attempts, they averaged 10.5 wins per season. Russell Wilson’s magic, even in muted doses, can put any team over the top.
Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Odds
If Tua Tagovailoa can take a step forward and the Dolphins’ add skill players in the NFL draft, this team can improve upon last season’s ten-win surprise.
Indianapolis Colts Super Bowl Odds
With an abundance of cap space (second-most) and the magical tag-team duo of Chris Ballard and Frank Reich steering the ship, the Colts are a quarterback away from competing for the final dance.
Tennessee Titans Super Bowl Odds
Despite Arthur Smith’s departure, the Titans feature a talented roster with the big dawg Derrick Henry able to chew up yards on the ground and time of possession. Mike Vrabel and Henry have been able to stiff-arm the competition the last two seasons while piling up the Ws.
Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Odds
If Dak Prescott is back under center and healthy to start the season, the Cowboys have the type of offensive firepower to outscore most teams weekly.
Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl Odds
Even a cooked version of Ben Roethlisberger and a bottom-five offensive line was good enough to win the AFC North last season. If the Steelers can get more out of their run game and O line, a Super Bowl return could be in the cards.
Los Angeles Chargers Super Bowl Odds
If newly minted head coach Brandon Staley can coax similar play out of a talented Chargers defensive depth chart, the Chargers could shock the world. We know an offense led by Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler and Mike Williams will hold up their end of the bargain.
Longshot bets for Super Bowl 56
New England Patriots Super Bowl Odds
Even with Cam Newton looking like a shell of his former self and eight players opting out prior to the season, Bill Belichick and the Patriots nearly scraped together a .500 season. The Patriots will need improved quarterback play and a magic wand for the rest of the offense for this bet to pay off.
Minnesota Vikings Super Bowl Odds
Justin Jefferson’s otherworldly rookie season overshadowed a Vikings’ once-vaunted defense that cratered in 2020. Mike Zimmer will need his defense to rebound for more checkmarks in the win column in 2021.
Carolina Panthers Super Bowl Odds
If the Panthers inject new life into their quarterback room, a depth chart housing Christian McCaffrey, D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson could finish higher than 24th in points scored. If Carolina can light up the scoreboard with more regularity, they will help out a defense that quietly forced the tenth most takeaways in 2020.
Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl Odds
After finishing .500 last season, Arizona offered hope they are primed to continue their ascension in the NFC. In 2020 Kliff Kingsbury’s offensive prowess was married with a defense that ranked 13th in yards allowed and 12th in points given up.
Atlanta Falcons Super Bowl Odds
The Falcons’ young defense finished the season ranked 14th in defensive DVOA and 12th in weighted defensive DVOA. If Arthur Smith can help Matt Ryan sip from the fountain of youth, the Falcons could surprise in 2021.
Super Bowl Betting History
Since the first Super Bowl in 1967, excluding two games that were either a push or a pick’em, favorites have been 36-18 straight up and 28-24 (54%) against the spread. Since Super Bowl ll (Super Bowl l, there was no over/under odds), betting on the over/under has been a coin flip with 27 games going over the total and 27 games hitting the under.
| Year | Super Bowl | Spread | Total | Winner | Loser |
| 2021 | Bucs v. Chiefs | Chiefs -3 | 56 | Buccaneers 31 | Chiefs 9 |
| 2020 | 49ers v. Chiefs | Chiefs -1 | 54.5 | Chiefs 31 | 49ers 20 |
| 2019 | Patriots v. Rams | Patriots -2.5 | 57.5 | Patriots 13 | Rams 3 |
| 2018 | Eagles v. Patriots | Patriots -4 | 49 | Eagles 41 | Patriots 33 |
| 2017 | Falcons v. Patriots | Patriots -3 | 57 | Patriots 34 | Falcons 28 |
| 2016 | Panthers v. Broncos | Panthers -5 | 43.5 | Broncos 24 | Panthers 10 |
| 2015 | Seahawks v. Patriots | Pick ’em | 47.5 | Patriots 28 | Seahawks 24 |
| 2014 | Seahawks v. Broncos | Broncos -2.5 | 47.5 | Seahawks 43 | Broncos 8 |
| 2013 | 49ers v. Ravens | 49ers -4.5 | 48 | Ravens 34 | 49ers 31 |
| 2012 | Giants v. Patriots | Patriots -2.5 | 53 | Giants 21 | Patriots 17 |
| 2011 | Packers v. Steelers | Packers -3 | 45 | Packers 31 | Steelers 25 |
| 2010 | Saints v. Colts | Colts -5 | 57 | Saints 31 | Colts 17 |
| 2009 | Steelers v. Cardinals | Steelers -7 | 46 | Steelers 27 | Cardinals 23 |
| 2008 | Giants v. Patriots | Patriots -12 | 55 | Giants 17 | Patriots 14 |
| 2007 | Colts v. Bears | Colts -7 | 47 | Colts 29 | Bears 17 |
| 2006 | Steelers v. Seahawks | Steelers -4 | 47 | Steelers 21 | Seahawks 10 |
| 2005 | Patriots v. Eagles | Patriots -7 | 46.5 | Patriots 24 | Eagles 21 |
| 2004 | Patriots v. Panthers | Patriots -7 | 37.5 | Patriots 32 | Panthers 29 |
| 2003 | Bucs v. Raiders | Raiders -4 | 44 | Bucs 48 | Raiders 21 |
| 2002 | Patriots v. Rams | Rams -14 | 53 | Patriots 20 | Rams 17 |
| 2001 | Ravens v. Giants | Baltimore -3 | 33 | Baltimore 34 | Giants 7 |
| 2000 | Rams v. Titans | Rams -7 | 45 | Rams 23 | Titans 16 |
| 1999 | Broncos v. Falcons | Broncos -7.5 | 52.5 | Broncos 34 | Falcons 19 |
| 1998 | Broncos v. Packers | Packers -11 | 49 | Broncos 31 | Packers 24 |
| 1997 | Packers v. Patriots | Packers -14 | 49 | Packers 35 | Patriots 21 |
| 1996 | Cowboys v. Steelers | Cowboys -13.5 | 51 | Cowboys 27 | Steelers 17 |
| 1995 | 49ers v. Chargers | 49ers -18.5 | 53.5 | 49ers 49 | Chargers 26 |
| 1994 | Cowboys v. Bills | Cowboys -10.5 | 50.5 | Cowboys 30 | Bills 13 |
| 1993 | Cowboys v. Bills | Cowboys -6.5 | 44.5 | Cowboys 52 | Bills 17 |
| 1992 | Redskins v. Bills | Redskins -7 | 49 | Redskins 37 | Bills 24 |
| 1991 | Giants v. Bills | Bills -7 | 40.5 | Giants 20 | Bills 19 |
| 1990 | 49ers v. Broncos | 49ers -12 | 48 | 49ers 55 | Broncos 10 |
| 1989 | 49ers v. Bengals | 49ers -7 | 48 | 49ers 20 | Bengals 16 |
| 1988 | Redskins v. Broncos | Broncos -3 | 47 | Redskins 42 | Broncos 10 |
| 1987 | Giants v. Broncos | Giants -9.5 | 40 | Giants 39 | Broncos 20 |
| 1986 | Bears v. Patriots | Bears -10 | 37.5 | Bears 46 | Patriots 10 |
| 1985 | 49ers v. Dolphins | 49ers -3.5 | 53.5 | 49ers 38 | Dolphins 16 |
| 1984 | Raiders v. Redskins | Redskins -3 | 48 | Raiders 38 | Redskins 9 |
| 1983 | Redskins v. Dolphins | Dolphins -3 | 36.5 | Redskins 27 | Dolphins 17 |
| 1982 | 49ers v. Bengals | 49ers -1 | 48 | 49ers 26 | Bengals 21 |
| 1981 | Raiders v. Eagles | Eagles -3 | 37.5 | Raiders 27 | Eagles 10 |
| 1980 | Steelers v. Rams | Steelers -10.5 | 36 | Steelers 31 | Rams 19 |
| 1979 | Steelers v. Cowboys | Steelers -3.5 | 37 | Steelers 35 | Cowboys 31 |
| 1978 | Cowboys v. Broncos | Cowboys -6 | 39 | Cowboys 27 | Broncos 10 |
| 1977 | Raiders v. Vikings | Raiders -4 | 38 | Raiders 34 | Vikings 14 |
| 1976 | Steelers v. Cowboys | Steelers -7 | 36 | Steelers 21 | Cowboys 17 |
| 1975 | Steelers v. Vikings | Steelers -3 | 33 | Steelers 16 | Vikings 6 |
| 1974 | Dolphins v. Vikings | Dolphins -6.5 | 33 | Dolphins 24 | Vikings 7 |
| 1973 | Dolphins v. Redskins | Dolphins -1 | 33 | Dolphins 14 | Redskins 7 |
| 1972 | Cowboys v. Dolphins | Cowboys -6 | 34 | Cowboys 24 | Dolphins 3 |
| 1971 | Balt. Colts v. Cowboys | Colts -2.5 | 36 | Colts 16 | Cowboys 13 |
| 1970 | Chiefs v. Vikings | Vikings -12 | 39 | Chiefs 23 | Vikings 7 |
| 1969 | Jets v. Balt. Colts | Colts -18 | 40 | Jets 16 | Colts 7 |
| 1968 | Packers v. Raiders | Packers -13.5 | 43 | Packers 33 | Raiders 14 |
| 1967 | Packers v. Chiefs | Packers -14 | – | Packers 35 | Chiefs 10 |
Super Bowl Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favorite to win Super Bowl 56?
The favorite to win Super Bowl 56 is the Kansas City Chiefs.
Where is the 2022 Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 56 will be played at SoFi Stadium at Hollywood Park in Inglewood, CA.
What are the Chiefs’ Super Bowl 56 odds?
The Chiefs Super Bowl odds opened at +525, per DraftKings Sportsbook.
