Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Zay Flowers from EV Insight

Zay FlowersReceiving Yards

Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).

Pros

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projections to call 67.1 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.
In this week’s contest, Zay Flowers is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 85th percentile among WRs with 7.7 targets.
Zay Flowers has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (194.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Cons

This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Pittsburgh’s group of LBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards