WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Courtland SuttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Broncos vs. Jets
Right now, Courtland Sutton’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-110).
Pros
- With an impressive 91.2% Route% (85th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton stands among the wideouts with the most usage in the league.
- In this game, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.8 targets.
- Courtland Sutton has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 61.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
- Courtland Sutton’s 74.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a a material growth in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 59.4% rate.
- Courtland Sutton’s 9.1 adjusted yards per target this season marks a a significant boost in his receiving talent over last season’s 7.9 mark.
Cons
- The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by the projections to run just 60.1 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
- The Broncos have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.2 plays per game.
- After accumulating 100.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has significantly declined this season, now pacing 72.0 per game.
- Since the start of last season, the fierce Jets defense has conceded a puny 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-best rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
