Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Falcons vs. Texans
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 81.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 81.5 (-110) after it opened @ 84.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.4 offensive plays called: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
- In this contest, Bijan Robinson is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.0 rush attempts.
- Bijan Robinson has garnered 48.1% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
- With a stellar rate of 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (89th percentile), Bijan Robinson has been among the leading RBs in the league this year.
Cons
- The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards
73
Rushing Yards
