Week 5 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey from EV Insight

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 80.5 (-110) after it opened @ 78.5 (-114).

Pros

This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.5% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to notch 18.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Christian McCaffrey has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (126.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers offense as the most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 31.28 seconds per play.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends rank as the best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
82
Rushing Yards