Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Devon AchaneRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Dolphins vs. Giants
Right now, Devon Achane’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-137/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-137) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Dolphins are a heavy 13-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- Our trusted projections expect Devon Achane to be a more integral piece of his team’s running game in this game (45.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.8% in games he has played).
- The Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
- With a fantastic tally of 11.85 adjusted yards per carry (100th percentile), Devon Achane ranks among the best RBs in football this year.
- This year, the poor New York Giants run defense has yielded a colossal 140.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 8th-most in the league.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
- The predictive model expects the Dolphins offense as the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
- The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards
62
Rushing Yards
