Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brandon Aiyuk from EV Insight

Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards

Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-139/+102).

The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-139) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).

Pros

Brandon Aiyuk has run a route on 93.7% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
The leading projections forecast Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 7.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Brandon Aiyuk has put up a massive 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among WRs.
Brandon Aiyuk has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 69.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
Brandon Aiyuk’s 86.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a a significant improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 68.9% rate.

Cons

This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers offense as the most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 31.28 seconds per play.
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
68
Receiving Yards