Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Jets vs. Chiefs
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (+100/-137).
The public has bet the OVER up to 26.5 (+100) after it opened @ 25.5 (-113).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Chiefs are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets defense has yielded the fewest receiving yards per game in football (just 111.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
- The Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers since the start of last season, giving up 6.84 yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.
- New York cornerbacks project as the best group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
