Week 4 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kyren Williams from EV Insight

Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (+110/-151).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-151) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).

Pros

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Kyren Williams to notch 16.6 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a much bigger part of his offense’s ground game in this week’s game (69.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.2% in games he has played).
When it comes to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Indianapolis’s collection of safeties has been awful since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 5th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Rams have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.34 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards