Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Khalil HerbertRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Bears vs. Broncos
Right now, Khalil Herbert’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 42.5 (+110).
Pros
- The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Chicago Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
- The Broncos defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, allowing 4.87 yards-per-carry.
- When it comes to the safeties’ role in run defense, Denver’s unit has been terrible since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Cons
- The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Chicago Bears have called the fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
- Khalil Herbert’s running effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a measly 3.65 yards-per-carry vs a 5.36 rate last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Rushing Yards
46
Rushing Yards
