Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Najee HarrisRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Texans vs. Steelers
Right now, Najee Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
- Najee Harris has picked up 57.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (82nd percentile).
- Opposing squads have run for the most yards in the league (164 per game) versus the Texans defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- The Steelers rank as the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 35.4% run rate.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards
65
Rushing Yards
