Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Browns vs. Ravens
Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 219.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 219.5 (-114) after it opened @ 227.5 (-114).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 62.0 plays per game.
- The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-most yards in the NFL (243.0 per game) versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast Deshaun Watson to attempt 33.2 passes this week, on average: the 9th-fewest of all QBs.
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 5.99 yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
- When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Baltimore’s group of safeties has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards
229
Passing Yards
