Week 4 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight

Jerome FordRushing Yards

Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-131/-104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 52.5 (-131) after it opened @ 46.5 (-119).

Pros

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 62.0 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Jerome Ford to accumulate 13.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Jerome Ford has been among the top RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 4.12 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Cons

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest yards in football (just 93 per game) versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season.
Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards