Week 4 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Bijan Robinson from EV Insight

Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-114) after it opened @ 65.5 (-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons to call the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to garner 14.6 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Bijan Robinson has been given 44.2% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
Bijan Robinson has been among the best running backs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 3.82 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 90th percentile.

Cons

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.26 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards