Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Jaguars vs. Falcons
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-114) after it opened @ 65.5 (-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Falcons to call the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to garner 14.6 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
- Bijan Robinson has been given 44.2% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
- Bijan Robinson has been among the best running backs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 3.82 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 90th percentile.
Cons
- The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.26 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards
71
Rushing Yards
