Week 4 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jordan Love from EV Insight

Jordan LovePassing Yards

Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 227.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 227.5 (-110) after it opened @ 224.5 (-114).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (246.0 per game) vs. the Lions defense since the start of last season.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.
Jordan Love has been among the least on-target passers in the league this year with a 55.0% Completion%, ranking in the 6th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
253
Passing Yards