Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jimmy GaroppoloPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Broncos vs. Raiders
Right now, Jimmy Garoppolo’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 230.5 (-125) after it opened @ 224.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 36.4 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
- Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the best precision passers in the league since the start of last season with a stellar 66.9% Completion%, grading out in the 87th percentile.
- Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most effective passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 8.15 yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 6.85 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
- The Denver Broncos cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
241
Passing Yards
241
Passing Yards
