Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Giants have been the 8th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 43.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 17.7 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has generated 78.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (96th percentile).

Cons

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards