Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brock PurdyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Steelers vs. 49ers
Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 232.5 (-127) after it opened @ 214.5 (-117).
Pros
- Brock Purdy has been among the most on-target QBs in the league since the start of last season with a terrific 66.5% Completion%, grading out in the 77th percentile.
- Brock Purdy has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.98 yards-per-target while ranking in the 85th percentile.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 7.97 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Brock Purdy has attempted just 19.4 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among quarterbacks.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
- Brock Purdy has been among the weakest passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 151.0 yards per game while ranking in the 14th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
239
Passing Yards
239
Passing Yards
