Week 1 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (+107/-139).

The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (+107) after it opened @ 212.5 (-114).

Pros

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Kenny Pickett has been among the least effective QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 6.70 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 23rd percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.36 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.87 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
247
Passing Yards