Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Patriots vs. Eagles
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 242.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 242.5 (-110) after it opened @ 239.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
- The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
- Jalen Hurts has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.58 yards-per-target while checking in at the 77th percentile.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have played in the 9th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game results when facing windier conditions this week.
- THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 32.4 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the league versus the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season (67.0%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards
229
Passing Yards
