Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Christian Watson from EV Insight

Christian WatsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Christian Watson’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-115) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Christian Watson to garner 6.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
Christian Watson has accumulated a whopping 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 9.94 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.65 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in football.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Christian Watson has been among the bottom wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards