Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Aaron JonesRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Bears vs. Packers
Right now, Aaron Jones’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 62.5 (-120) after it opened @ 60.5 (-110).
Pros
- Aaron Jones has garnered 49.6% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
- Aaron Jones has grinded out 64.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (88th percentile).
- Aaron Jones’s ground efficiency (5.13 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (97th percentile among RBs).
- Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (159 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
51
Rushing Yards
51
Rushing Yards
