Week 1 Player Props: Passing Yards for Desmond Ridder from EV Insight

Desmond RidderPassing Yards

Right now, Desmond Ridder’s passing yards prop is set at 202.5 yards (-108/-127).

The public has bet the OVER up to 202.5 (-108) after it opened @ 200.5 (-117).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in football.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest level in the league against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season (74.3%).
The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Desmond Ridder to attempt 31.3 passes this week, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.

Projection

THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards