Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Diontae JohnsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Steelers vs. 49ers
Right now, Diontae Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (+110/-140).
The public has bet the OVER up to 52.5 (+110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
- Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.2% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
- THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to garner 8.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
- Diontae Johnson has put up a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Diontae Johnson has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 61.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile among WRs
- Diontae Johnson has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a lowly 6.73 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 4th percentile among WRs
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in the league.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards
61
Receiving Yards
