Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kirk CousinsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Vikings vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Kirk Cousins’s passing yards prop is set at 273.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 273.5 (-110) after it opened @ 268.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Kirk Cousins has been among the best QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 263.0 yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.
Cons
- The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- Opposing offenses have passed for the 9th-least yards in the league (just 206.0 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.05 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in football.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 5th-best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
281
Passing Yards
281
Passing Yards
