WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Chiefs vs. Lions
Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 54.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to earn 11.2 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
- Isiah Pacheco’s rushing efficiency (4.95 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (86th percentile among running backs).
- The Detroit Lions defense owns the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering 5.36 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a lowly 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards
49
Rushing Yards
