Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-114) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 44.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 143.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
- Tony Pollard has rushed for a lot more yards per game (58.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).
Cons
- The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards
55
Rushing Yards
