Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Vikings vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 25.5 (-110) after it opened @ 23.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
- The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (5th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
- The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards
32
Receiving Yards
