2024 FTN NFL Power Rankings Through Week 15: Who Takes Over the Top Spot?
Daniel Kelley
Robert WoodsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Jaguars vs. Titans
Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-115/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans will be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
- Robert Woods has been an integral part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 19.6% this year, which places him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
- The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 26.73 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.
- Robert Woods has notched quite a few less air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
- Robert Woods has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards
36
Receiving Yards
