Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Rams vs. Cardinals
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-105/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 71.5 (-115) after it opened @ 72.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB John Wolford in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
- The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to notch 11.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Cooper Kupp has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (88.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
- The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
- Cooper Kupp’s receiving efficiency has declined this season, accumulating just 8.87 yards-per-target vs a 10.36 rate last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
96
Receiving Yards
96
Receiving Yards
