College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Kirk CousinsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Eagles vs. Vikings
Right now, Kirk Cousins’s passing yards prop is set at 268.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 268.5 (-115) after it opened @ 259.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Vikings are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game.
- Kirk Cousins has been among the leading QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 267.0 yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Cons
- The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 2nd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week’s contest.
- The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (67.3%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.01 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
274
Passing Yards
274
Passing Yards
