Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Justin JeffersonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Eagles vs. Vikings
Right now, Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards prop is set at 94.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 94.5 (-110) after it opened @ 96.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Vikings are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game.
- Justin Jefferson has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 104.0 yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Cons
- The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 2nd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week’s contest.
- The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.2%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (61.2%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, yielding 7.33 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
97
Receiving Yards
97
Receiving Yards
